Signal To Noise Ratio Of U.S. Economy Is An Anomaly

The signal to noise ratio in the U.S. economy is blaringly anomalous.

Each of the of the blue lines represent Wall Street analyst forecasts for earnings on America's largest 500 publicly-held companies for a calendar-year, starting with 2011. Markedly different from the seven initial years shown are the earnings forecasts for 2018 and 2019. This shows just how explosive earnings are expected to grow compared to the norm.

That is not what has happened so far in 2018. Earnings estimates have soared, counter to their historical pattern as analysts have continued to improve earnings forecasts, even as the end of 2018 draws near.

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This article was written by a veteran financial journalist based on data compiled and analyzed by independent economist, Fritz Meyer. While these are sources we believe to be reliable, the information is not intended to be used as financial advice without consulting a professional about your personal situation.

Indices are unmanaged and not available for direct investment. Investments with higher return potential carry greater risk for loss. Past performance is not an indicator of your future results.

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