Real Economy Strengthens, Yield Curve Inverts And Mueller Report Drops
The yield curve inverted Friday triggering fears of a recession and a 1.9% drop in the Standard & Poor's 500 — the second-worst one-day drop this year. Then, Robert Mueller's Special Counsel delivered his report.
The yield curve inverted for the first time since the last recession, and it has historically preceded recessions by many months. However, the yield curve's inversion does not always mean a recession is going to occur, and all of the key fundamental economic indicators show no sign of a recession.
The index of U.S. leading economic indicators — a forward looking composite of 10 indexes of American economic growth — increased 0.2% in February to 111.5, following no change in January, and a 0.1% decline in December.
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