Real Economy Strengthens, Yield Curve Inverts And Mueller Report Drops

The yield curve inverted Friday triggering fears of a recession and a 1.9% drop in the Standard & Poor's 500 — the second-worst one-day drop this year. Then, Robert Mueller's Special Counsel delivered his report.

The yield curve inverted for the first time since the last recession, and it has historically preceded recessions by many months. However, the yield curve's inversion does not always mean a recession is going to occur, and all of the key fundamental economic indicators show no sign of a recession.

The index of U.S. leading economic indicators — a forward looking composite of 10 indexes of American economic growth — increased 0.2% in February to 111.5, following no change in January, and a 0.1% decline in December.

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This article was written by a veteran financial journalist based on data compiled and analyzed by independent economist, Fritz Meyer. While these are sources we believe to be reliable, the information is not intended to be used as financial advice without consulting a professional about your personal situation.

Indices are unmanaged and not available for direct investment. Investments with higher return potential carry greater risk for loss. Past performance is not an indicator of your future results.

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