V-Shaped But Full Recovery Is Long Off

Published Friday, June 12, 2020, 6 p.m. EST

After the disastrous -33.5% economic contraction ends in 16 days, the nation's leading economists expect the U.S. to grow 14.2% in the third quarter, according to the consensus forecast of 60 economists published in The Wall Street Journal today.

The upbeat results from the survey of more than 50 leading public- and private-sector economists contrast with a 5.9% plunge in the Standard & Poor's 500 index on Thursday and a resurgence of Coronavirus across southern and western U.S.

The survey was conducted in the past 10 days by The Journal and is evidence supporting the case that a strong recovery is likely but will be tempered by a slow return to the all-time peak in real gross domestic product of the fourth-quarter of 2019.

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This article was written by a veteran financial journalist based on data compiled and analyzed by independent economist, Fritz Meyer. While these are sources we believe to be reliable, the information is not intended to be used as financial advice without consulting a professional about your personal situation.

Indices are unmanaged and not available for direct investment. Investments with higher return potential carry greater risk for loss. Past performance is not an indicator of your future results.

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