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Categories Invest Author Dieter Drews, JD

An Economy Goldilocks Would Definitely Live With

An Economy Goldilocks Would Definitely Live With

With the economy stronger than expected and inflation cooling fast, it’s a Goldilocks economy, and the outlook for 2024 is brightening.

The 12-month rate of inflation plunged again in June, as measured by the Consumer Price Index. CPI measures inflation based on prices of a fixed basket of monthly household expenses. The Headline 12-month rate of inflation – the rise in the cost of all the items in the fixed basket household expenses — declined to 3% from 4% in May. It was the second month in a row in which the 12-month rate of inflation declined a full percentage point.

Categories Invest Author Dieter Drews, JD

Inflation Update for Investors

Inflation Update for Investors

Inflation, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, rose a scant 0.1% in May on a seasonally adjusted basis, and the Federal Reserve may be done with raising interest rates, while economic growth is stronger than expected. The list of bullish fundamentals is much longer than the list of bearish signals, and a turning point in the outlook could be taking hold.

Categories Finance Author Dieter Drews, JD

Inflation And A Reason For Optimism

Inflation Is Lower, And There Is Reason For Optimism

Economist Fritz Meyer yesterday said inflation is slowing rapidly and warned of a period of deflation.

At his monthly webinar for CFP, CPA, CIMA, CFA professionals, Mr. Meyer showed several charts tracking inflation expectations, including the two shown below.

Categories Retirement Author Dieter Drews, JD

Managing Investment Risk Strategically Based On Facts And Experience

An investment’s risk is usually defined as its standard deviation. The financial press and investment marketers cannot be faulted for defining risk as standard deviation. Reducing the concept to a single statistic makes it easy to understand. However, standard deviation expresses only one aspect of investment risk. It totally misses the more important human component: how you will behave in reaction to your wealth disintegrating in a crisis like the 2008 global financial meltdown. That’s what really matters in managing wealth strategically.  

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